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Camden Council area

Shift-share analysis

In Camden Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2010/11 and 2015/16 was experienced in Education and Training.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Greater Sydney
Camden Council area - Employment (Total)2015/162010/112010/11 to 2015/16
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing645457+188+47.7+64.3+75.5
Mining3633+3+3.5-1.3+0.9
Manufacturing2,0971,882+215+196.3-208.2+226.5
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services586329+258+34.3-14.5+237.7
Construction3,6592,870+790+299.2+41.4+449.1
Wholesale Trade1,231897+334+93.5-20.0+261.0
Retail Trade4,3333,211+1,122+334.8+31.2+755.7
Accommodation and Food Services1,7111,561+150+162.8+76.1-88.7
Transport, Postal and Warehousing1,2531,180+74+123.0-16.6-32.6
Information Media and Telecommunications143128+14+13.4-0.8+1.8
Financial and Insurance Services348348--+36.3-2.1-34.0
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services467431+36+44.9+4.0-13.0
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services987933+54+97.3+17.0-60.4
Administrative and Support Services615547+68+57.1+13.7-2.8
Public Administration and Safety736692+43+72.2+16.0-44.7
Education and Training3,2892,101+1,188+219.1+22.1+947.1
Health Care and Social Assistance3,2232,172+1,052+226.5+36.3+788.7
Arts and Recreation Services413374+38+39.1+8.8-9.4
Other Services1,2761,089+187+113.6-9.2+82.5

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data is based on 2015-16 constant prices for all years. NIEIR data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and new data releases normally adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 75.5 Net change in Mining, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 0.9 Net change in Manufacturing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 226.5 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 237.7 Net change in Construction, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 449.1 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 261.0 Net change in Retail Trade, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 755.7 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -88.7 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -32.6 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 1.8 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -34.0 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -13.0 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -60.4 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -2.8 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -44.7 Net change in Education and Training, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 947.1 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 788.7 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -9.4 Net change in Other Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 82.5
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2010/11 and 2015/16 in Camden Council area in 2014/15 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney were:

  • Education and Training (+947.1)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+788.7)
  • Retail Trade (+755.7)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Accommodation and Food Services (-88.7)
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (-60.4)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-44.7)

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