Developing East Arnhem LimitedEconomic profile

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Developing East Arnhem Limited area

Shift-share analysis

In Developing East Arnhem Limited area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2010/11 and 2015/16 was experienced in Construction.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Northern Territory
Developing East Arnhem Limited area - Employment (Total)2015/162010/112010/11 to 2015/16
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing51128-77+13.1-2.4-88.2
Mining527602-76+61.7+12.2-149.5
Manufacturing654940-286+96.2-559.7+177.1
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services2224-2+2.5+2.2-6.7
Construction919739+181+75.6+58.4+46.7
Wholesale Trade3123+8+2.4-0.3+5.8
Retail Trade396339+58+34.7-2.1+25.0
Accommodation and Food Services376390-14+39.9+7.4-61.5
Transport, Postal and Warehousing196170+26+17.4+3.6+5.1
Information Media and Telecommunications2215+7+1.6-0.3+5.8
Financial and Insurance Services2927+2+2.8-0.3-0.6
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services4128+13+2.9+0.9+9.2
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services115127-11+13.0+3.9-28.3
Administrative and Support Services192178+14+18.3+4.2-8.4
Public Administration and Safety859916-58+93.8+14.4-166.1
Education and Training796676+120+69.2+21.4+29.2
Health Care and Social Assistance637629+9+64.3+14.8-70.3
Arts and Recreation Services105100+5+10.3+3.8-9.3
Other Services625520+105+53.3+29.2+22.5

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data is based on 2015-16 constant prices for all years. NIEIR data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and new data releases normally adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -88.2 Net change in Mining, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -149.5 Net change in Manufacturing, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 177.1 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -6.7 Net change in Construction, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 46.7 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 5.8 Net change in Retail Trade, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 25.0 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -61.5 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 5.1 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 5.8 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -0.6 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 9.2 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -28.3 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -8.4 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -166.1 Net change in Education and Training, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 29.2 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -70.3 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: -9.3 Net change in Other Services, Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory: 22.5
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2010/11 and 2015/16 in Developing East Arnhem Limited area in 2014/15 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Developing East Arnhem Limited area relative to Northern Territory were:

  • Manufacturing (+177.1)
  • Construction (+46.7)
  • Education and Training (+29.2)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Public Administration and Safety (-166.1)
  • Mining (-149.5)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-88.2)

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