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Wagga Wagga City

Shift-share analysis

In Wagga Wagga City, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2010/11 and 2015/16 was experienced in Health Care and Social Assistance.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Regional NSW
Wagga Wagga City - Employment (Total)2015/162010/112010/11 to 2015/16
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing1,2021,231-29+24.6-3.5-50.5
Mining5045+5+0.9+3.8+0.2
Manufacturing2,3012,338-37+46.8-76.6-6.9
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services446356+90+7.1+33.1+50.2
Construction2,3972,664-266+53.3-64.6-255.0
Wholesale Trade1,1271,158-31+23.2-40.9-13.1
Retail Trade3,7453,639+106+72.8-21.5+54.4
Accommodation and Food Services2,3132,224+89+44.5+3.8+40.8
Transport, Postal and Warehousing1,4951,502-6+30.0-18.5-18.0
Information Media and Telecommunications334378-44+7.6-28.5-23.5
Financial and Insurance Services637664-27+13.3-39.6-1.2
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services415444-29+8.9-16.2-21.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services1,0781,148-71+23.0-68.2-25.4
Administrative and Support Services826870-44+17.4-6.3-54.7
Public Administration and Safety3,6343,842-208+76.8-127.5-156.9
Education and Training3,5743,412+162+68.3+135.3-41.7
Health Care and Social Assistance4,6124,152+460+83.0+175.6+201.3
Arts and Recreation Services212204+8+4.1+5.1-1.3
Other Services1,4321,367+65+27.4+61.8-24.2

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data is based on 2014-15 constant prices for all years. NIEIR data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and new data releases normally adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2010/11 to 2015/16 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -50.5 Net change in Mining, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: 0.2 Net change in Manufacturing, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -6.9 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: 50.2 Net change in Construction, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -255.0 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -13.1 Net change in Retail Trade, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: 54.4 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: 40.8 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -18.0 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -23.5 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -1.2 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -21.6 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -25.4 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -54.7 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -156.9 Net change in Education and Training, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -41.7 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: 201.3 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -1.3 Net change in Other Services, Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW: -24.2
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2010/11 and 2015/16 in Wagga Wagga City in 2015/16 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Wagga Wagga City relative to Regional NSW were:

  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+201.3)
  • Retail Trade (+54.4)
  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (+50.2)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Construction (-255.0)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-156.9)
  • Administrative and Support Services (-54.7)

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