Bathurst Regional CouncilEconomic profile
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Bathurst Regional Council area

Shift-share analysis

In Bathurst Regional Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Health Care and Social Assistance.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to New South Wales
Bathurst Regional Council area - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing763731+31+61.0-43.1+13.4
Mining9377+16+6.4-4.1+14.1
Manufacturing1,4401,707-267+142.3-342.3-66.9
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services392475-83+39.6-49.7-73.0
Construction1,5891,431+157+119.3+46.1-8.2
Wholesale Trade360497-137+41.5-108.4-69.6
Retail Trade2,1242,013+111+167.8-34.6-22.3
Accommodation and Food Services1,4351,375+60+114.6+74.0-128.3
Transport, Postal and Warehousing705723-18+60.3-37.0-41.3
Information Media and Telecommunications341415-74+34.6-20.6-88.0
Financial and Insurance Services351249+102+20.8-1.2+82.6
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services253237+16+19.8+12.6-16.5
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services830667+163+55.7+47.7+59.9
Administrative and Support Services587521+65+43.5+30.5-8.6
Public Administration and Safety1,5421,458+84+121.6-39.8+2.2
Education and Training2,4732,194+279+182.9+218.4-122.3
Health Care and Social Assistance2,8932,003+890+167.0+290.4+432.6
Arts and Recreation Services537324+212+27.1+16.7+168.7
Other Services797844-47+70.4-40.7-76.7

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 13.4 Net change in Mining, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 14.1 Net change in Manufacturing, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -66.9 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -73.0 Net change in Construction, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -8.2 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -69.6 Net change in Retail Trade, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -22.3 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -128.3 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -41.3 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -88.0 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 82.6 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -16.5 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 59.9 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -8.6 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 2.2 Net change in Education and Training, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -122.3 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 432.6 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: 168.7 Net change in Other Services, Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales: -76.7
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in Bathurst Regional Council area in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Bathurst Regional Council area relative to New South Wales were:

  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+432.6)
  • Arts and Recreation Services (+168.7)
  • Financial and Insurance Services (+82.6)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Accommodation and Food Services (-128.3)
  • Education and Training (-122.3)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (-88.0)

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