Bundaberg Regional CouncilEconomic profile
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Bundaberg Regional Council

Shift-share analysis

In Bundaberg Regional Council, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2016/17 and 2017/18 was experienced in Manufacturing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Queensland
Bundaberg Regional Council - Employment (Total)2017/182016/172016/17 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing4,3203,946+373+190.3+122.2+60.9
Mining9996+3+4.7-0.4-1.4
Manufacturing2,7292,495+235+120.3-42.6+156.8
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services439452-13+21.8-26.6-7.8
Construction2,6852,522+163+121.6+63.0-21.6
Wholesale Trade793740+53+35.7-49.6+66.7
Retail Trade4,5344,579-45+220.8-41.6-224.2
Accommodation and Food Services2,7742,578+196+124.3+55.3+16.2
Transport, Postal and Warehousing1,4461,368+78+66.0-9.5+21.6
Information Media and Telecommunications415333+82+16.1-38.2+104.3
Financial and Insurance Services656649+7+31.3-18.6-6.2
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services563504+59+24.3-19.3+54.2
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services1,2761,151+125+55.5-42.0+111.9
Administrative and Support Services1,1711,125+46+54.3+14.8-22.7
Public Administration and Safety1,7301,776-46+85.6-28.0-103.7
Education and Training3,6713,502+169+168.8+90.4-90.0
Health Care and Social Assistance6,4956,185+310+298.2+218.7-206.6
Arts and Recreation Services410356+54+17.2-8.3+45.2
Other Services1,5151,372+142+66.2-17.8+93.7

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2016/17 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2016/17 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 60.9 Net change in Mining, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -1.4 Net change in Manufacturing, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 156.8 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -7.8 Net change in Construction, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -21.6 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 66.7 Net change in Retail Trade, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -224.2 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 16.2 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 21.6 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 104.3 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -6.2 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 54.2 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 111.9 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -22.7 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -103.7 Net change in Education and Training, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -90.0 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: -206.6 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 45.2 Net change in Other Services, Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland: 93.7
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2016/17 and 2017/18 in Bundaberg Regional Council in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Bundaberg Regional Council relative to Queensland were:

  • Manufacturing (+156.8)
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (+111.9)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+104.3)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Retail Trade (-224.2)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (-206.6)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-103.7)

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