COMSEQ excluding Gold Coast

Shift-share analysis

In the COMSEQ excluding Gold Coast, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2017/18 and 2022/23 was experienced in Accommodation and Food Services.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Current area:
Current benchmark:
Measure
Comparison year:
reset
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Queensland
COMSEQ excluding Gold Coast - Employment (Total)2022/232017/182017/18 to 2022/23
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing23,63620,866+2,769+2,758.4-2,349.8+2,360.8
Mining20,00618,000+2,005+2,379.6-195.7-178.5
Manufacturing114,839110,275+4,564+14,577.3-9,791.0-222.1
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services21,25718,919+2,338+2,501.0-73.5-89.4
Construction157,395143,902+13,493+19,022.4+60.5-5,590.0
Wholesale Trade47,91145,865+2,046+6,063.0-4,630.0+612.5
Retail Trade155,205148,234+6,971+19,595.1-13,707.3+1,083.3
Accommodation and Food Services112,07699,638+12,437+13,171.3-4,025.9+3,292.1
Transport, Postal and Warehousing101,64891,151+10,498+12,049.3-3,212.0+1,660.3
Information Media and Telecommunications20,27523,585-3,310+3,117.8-6,182.9-245.0
Financial and Insurance Services60,09748,025+12,072+6,348.5+3,792.7+1,930.5
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services29,20729,662-455+3,921.1-4,113.9-262.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services156,734121,923+34,812+16,117.1+17,624.9+1,069.6
Administrative and Support Services56,84952,208+4,641+6,901.4-1,738.3-522.2
Public Administration and Safety119,392107,401+11,991+14,197.4-1,710.9-495.2
Education and Training165,301143,660+21,641+18,990.5+969.2+1,680.8
Health Care and Social Assistance292,371223,022+69,348+29,481.4+37,172.3+2,694.5
Arts and Recreation Services28,29925,333+2,965+3,348.9-1,074.5+690.7
Other Services68,48861,288+7,200+8,101.7-574.3-327.3
Total Industries1,750,9931,532,967+218,026+202,643.2--+15,382.7

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2024. ©2023. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id (informed decisions). Data are based on a 2020/21 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a category in the chart below you will be able to drilldown to the sub categories.
loading animation

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of Employment (Total) change between 2017/18 and 2022/23 in the COMSEQ excluding Gold Coast shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in the COMSEQ excluding Gold Coast relative to Queensland were:

  • Accommodation and Food Services (+3,292 )
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+2,694 )
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+2,361 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Public Administration and Safety (-495 )
  • Administrative and Support Services (-522 )
  • Construction (-5,590 )

South East Queensland

economic profile