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West Coast Council area

Shift-share analysis

This page has been updated with 2016-17 NIEIR-ID economic model data

You may notice some changes to current and past data. Learn more about these changes.

In West Coast Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Mining.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Greater Hobart
West Coast Council area - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing13744+93+1.4+33.7+58.3
Mining968641+327+20.3-459.1+766.0
Manufacturing71306-235+9.7-17.1-227.6
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services5265-13+2.1-10.8-4.5
Construction93155-62+4.9+1.0-68.1
Wholesale Trade2739-12+1.3-12.1-1.4
Retail Trade147156-10+5.0+0.4-15.1
Accommodation and Food Services234299-65+9.5+39.2-113.3
Transport, Postal and Warehousing79131-52+4.2+0.2-56.7
Information Media and Telecommunications2222-1+0.7-3.6+2.2
Financial and Insurance Services1211--+0.4-1.1+1.1
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services1923-3+0.7-2.8-1.2
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services2535-10+1.1-1.6-9.8
Administrative and Support Services80103-23+3.3+16.9-43.3
Public Administration and Safety94109-15+3.5-10.5-8.4
Education and Training149151-2+4.8+13.5-20.5
Health Care and Social Assistance9690+6+2.8+13.4-10.1
Arts and Recreation Services3842-4+1.3-1.8-3.4
Other Services5368-15+2.2+2.2-19.4

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: 58.3 Net change in Mining, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: 766.0 Net change in Manufacturing, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -227.6 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -4.5 Net change in Construction, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -68.1 Net change in Wholesale Trade, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -1.4 Net change in Retail Trade, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -15.1 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -113.3 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -56.7 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: 2.2 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: 1.1 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -1.2 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -9.8 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -43.3 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -8.4 Net change in Education and Training, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -20.5 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -10.1 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -3.4 Net change in Other Services, West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart: -19.4
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in West Coast Council area in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in West Coast Council area relative to Greater Hobart were:

  • Mining (+766.0)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+58.3)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+2.2)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Manufacturing (-227.6)
  • Accommodation and Food Services (-113.3)
  • Construction (-68.1)

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