Kyogle Council area

Shift-share analysis

In Kyogle Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2014/15 and 2019/20 was experienced in Health Care and Social Assistance.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to NSW
Kyogle Council area - Employment (Total)2019/202014/152014/15 to 2019/20
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing772658+115+80.7-57.7+91.5
Mining000000
Manufacturing238235+3+28.9-16.5-9.4
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services3937+3+4.6-1.5-0.5
Construction310238+72+29.3+27.4+15.0
Wholesale Trade82104-22+12.8-5.0-29.3
Retail Trade272319-47+39.2-9.0-76.7
Accommodation and Food Services122131-9+16.1-5.1-19.7
Transport, Postal and Warehousing5677-21+9.5+1.3-31.9
Information Media and Telecommunications2915+14+1.9-1.5+13.4
Financial and Insurance Services1523-8+2.8+0.2-10.9
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services1622-6+2.8-2.2-6.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services8491-7+11.2+16.0-33.9
Administrative and Support Services5357-4+7.0-3.8-7.1
Public Administration and Safety123116+7+14.3+2.0-9.2
Education and Training324366-42+44.9-33.5-53.2
Health Care and Social Assistance538302+236+37.1+17.0+181.8
Arts and Recreation Services5844+15+5.4-1.2+10.3
Other Services9195-4+11.7-8.0-8.1
Total Industries3,2322,937+295+360.3---65.6

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2021. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id informed decisions. Data are based on a 2018-19 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
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Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2014/15 and 2019/20 in Kyogle Council area shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Kyogle Council area relative to NSW were:

  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+182 )
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+91 )
  • Construction (+15 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (-34 )
  • Education and Training (-53 )
  • Retail Trade (-77 )

Kyogle Council

economic profile