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Camden Council area

Shift-share analysis

This page has been updated with 2016-17 NIEIR-ID economic model data

You may notice some changes to current and past data. Learn more about these changes.

In Camden Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Construction.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Greater Sydney
Camden Council area - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing602505+97+64.6-129.0+161.1
Mining9253+39+6.8-41.6+73.8
Manufacturing2,0351,556+480+198.6+196.4+84.7
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services304348-43+44.4-42.3-45.7
Construction5,3163,797+1,519+484.6+78.0+956.1
Wholesale Trade1,099929+169+118.7-228.2+279.0
Retail Trade4,6133,123+1,490+398.6-27.3+1,119.1
Accommodation and Food Services2,2691,616+652+206.3+79.3+366.8
Transport, Postal and Warehousing1,5841,245+338+159.0-83.3+262.6
Information Media and Telecommunications202158+44+20.2-13.1+37.2
Financial and Insurance Services608344+264+44.0-9.8+229.8
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services765430+335+55.0+37.8+242.3
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services1,691947+744+121.0+46.2+576.5
Administrative and Support Services1,081559+522+71.5+11.9+438.3
Public Administration and Safety1,166671+495+85.6-37.5+447.3
Education and Training2,8722,215+657+282.8+195.7+178.6
Health Care and Social Assistance2,8562,202+655+281.0+247.5+126.3
Arts and Recreation Services511538-27+68.8-6.8-89.2
Other Services1,3401,190+150+152.0-74.7+72.9

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 161.1 Net change in Mining, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 73.8 Net change in Manufacturing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 84.7 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -45.7 Net change in Construction, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 956.1 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 279.0 Net change in Retail Trade, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 1,119.1 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 366.8 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 262.6 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 37.2 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 229.8 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 242.3 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 576.5 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 438.3 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 447.3 Net change in Education and Training, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 178.6 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 126.3 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: -89.2 Net change in Other Services, Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney: 72.9
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in Camden Council area in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Camden Council area relative to Greater Sydney were:

  • Retail Trade (+1,119.1)
  • Construction (+956.1)
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (+576.5)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Arts and Recreation Services (-89.2)
  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (-45.7)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+37.2)

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