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City of Moreland

Shift-share analysis

In City of Moreland, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2013/14 and 2018/19 was experienced in Manufacturing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Victoria
City of Moreland - Total Import2018/192013/142013/14 to 2018/19
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing339360-20+56.9-5.3-72.0
Mining203135+68+21.4-1.0+47.9
Manufacturing1,8961,485+411+234.6-44.4+220.7
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services309331-22+52.4-70.5-3.5
Construction00--------
Wholesale Trade228102+126+16.2+20.1+89.3
Retail Trade250135+115+21.4+17.6+76.2
Accommodation and Food Services168135+34+21.3+0.1+12.1
Transport, Postal and Warehousing631509+121+80.5-87.3+128.1
Information Media and Telecommunications309200+109+31.6+27.2+49.9
Financial and Insurance Services896534+362+84.4+92.7+185.2
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services5833+25+5.3+5.3+14.3
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services173119+54+18.8+23.7+11.5
Administrative and Support Services7888-9+13.9-9.9-13.5
Public Administration and Safety413380+33+60.1-56.9+29.4
Education and Training28679+207+12.6+13.2+181.1
Health Care and Social Assistance414272+142+43.0+4.1+94.6
Arts and Recreation Services8845+42+7.3-11.8+46.7
Other Services17584+91+13.4+12.7+64.5

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2019. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2013/14 to 2018/19
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2013/14 to 2018/19 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: -72.0 Net change in Mining, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 47.9 Net change in Manufacturing, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 220.7 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: -3.5 Net change in Wholesale Trade, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 89.3 Net change in Retail Trade, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 76.2 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 12.1 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 128.1 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 49.9 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 185.2 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 14.3 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 11.5 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: -13.5 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 29.4 Net change in Education and Training, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 181.1 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 94.6 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 46.7 Net change in Other Services, City of Moreland relative to Victoria: 64.5
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2019
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of total import change between 2013/14 and 2018/19 in City of Moreland in 2018/19 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in City of Moreland relative to Victoria were:

  • Manufacturing (+220.7)
  • Financial and Insurance Services (+185.2)
  • Education and Training (+181.1)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Construction ()
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-72.0)
  • Administrative and Support Services (-13.5)

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