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Flinders Council

Shift-share analysis

In Flinders Council, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2012/13 and 2017/18 was experienced in Manufacturing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Regional TAS
Flinders Council - Employment (Total)2017/182012/132012/13 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing10394+8+3.7+10.2-5.6
Mining00----00
Manufacturing2518+7+0.7-3.5+9.9
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services2015+4+0.6-2.1+5.9
Construction2214+8+0.6+1.6+5.5
Wholesale Trade1515--+0.6-4.3+3.3
Retail Trade3632+4+1.3+0.9+2.2
Accommodation and Food Services2729-2+1.2+0.6-4.0
Transport, Postal and Warehousing2429-4+1.1-2.5-3.1
Information Media and Telecommunications101+9+0.1-0.1+9.2
Financial and Insurance Services44--+0.2-0.8+0.6
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services812-3+0.5-0.3-3.3
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services810-2+0.4+0.4-3.1
Administrative and Support Services1612+4+0.5+0.4+3.4
Public Administration and Safety4449-6+2.0-7.5-0.1
Education and Training3229+3+1.2+1.4+0.7
Health Care and Social Assistance5741+16+1.6+8.0+6.0
Arts and Recreation Services1412+3+0.5+3.2-1.0
Other Services2226-4+1.0+1.4-6.5

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -5.6 Net change in Mining, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 0.0 Net change in Manufacturing, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 9.9 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 5.9 Net change in Construction, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 5.5 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 3.3 Net change in Retail Trade, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 2.2 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -4.0 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -3.1 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 9.2 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 0.6 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -3.3 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -3.1 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 3.4 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -0.1 Net change in Education and Training, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 0.7 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: 6.0 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -1.0 Net change in Other Services, Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS: -6.5
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2012/13 and 2017/18 in Flinders Council in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Flinders Council relative to Regional TAS were:

  • Manufacturing (+9.9)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+9.2)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+6.0)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Other Services (-6.5)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-5.6)
  • Accommodation and Food Services (-4.0)

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