Flinders Council

Shift-share analysis

In the Flinders Council, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2017/18 and 2022/23 was experienced in Fishing, Hunting and Trapping.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Current area:
Current benchmark:
Measure
Comparison year:
reset
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Tasmania
Flinders Council - Employment (Total)2022/232017/182017/18 to 2022/23
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing109100+9+14.4+1.6-7.1
Mining000000
Manufacturing1516-1+2.4-0.7-2.7
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services1216-4+2.3+2.5-8.5
Construction3425+9+3.7-2.5+7.8
Wholesale Trade24-2+0.7-0.1-2.9
Retail Trade2538-13+5.6-4.7-13.9
Accommodation and Food Services3232+0+4.7-0.2-4.5
Transport, Postal and Warehousing3017+13+2.5+0.1+10.4
Information Media and Telecommunications0130+1.9-2.90
Financial and Insurance Services000000
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services75+2+0.8-0.9+2.4
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services1612+3+1.8+2.6-1.1
Administrative and Support Services1920-1+3.0-0.3-4.1
Public Administration and Safety3936+3+5.3+0.4-2.6
Education and Training3329+4+4.2+2.8-3.1
Health Care and Social Assistance6660+6+8.7+10.6-13.2
Arts and Recreation Services412-7+1.7-3.6-5.3
Other Services511-6+1.6-1.2-6.2
Total Industries456453+2+65.3---63.0

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2024. ©2023. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id (informed decisions). Data are based on a 2020/21 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a category in the chart below you will be able to drilldown to the sub categories.
loading animation

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of Employment (Total) change between 2017/18 and 2022/23 in the Flinders Council shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in the Flinders Council relative to Tasmania were:

  • Transport, Postal and Warehousing (+10 )
  • Construction (+8 )
  • Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services (+2 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (-9 )
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (-13 )
  • Retail Trade (-14 )

Northern Tasmania Region

economic profile