Northern Tasmania Region

economic profile

northern-tasmania logo

West Tamar Council area

Shift-share analysis

In the West Tamar Council area, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2013/14 and 2018/19 was experienced in Health Care and Social Assistance.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Current area:
Current benchmark:
Measure
Comparison year:
reset
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
reset
export
  • Excel
  • Excel full
  • Word
  • Word full
Shift-share analysis to Tasmania
West Tamar Council area - Employment (Total)2018/192013/142013/14 to 2018/19
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing274313-38+20.2-12.4-46.2
Mining114237-124+15.3-62.8-76.4
Manufacturing223286-63+18.4-27.5-53.9
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services5349+3+3.2-6.0+6.2
Construction446374+72+24.1+65.3-17.7
Wholesale Trade67103-37+6.7-19.9-23.5
Retail Trade510551-41+35.5+11.0-87.4
Accommodation and Food Services400413-13+26.6-7.0-32.5
Transport, Postal and Warehousing187218-31+14.1-12.5-32.4
Information Media and Telecommunications3738-1+2.5-5.1+1.7
Financial and Insurance Services2146-25+3.0-3.1-24.6
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services4762-14+4.0-5.4-12.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services159169-10+10.9+16.5-37.8
Administrative and Support Services135170-35+11.0-13.1-32.5
Public Administration and Safety163156+7+10.1-2.0-1.3
Education and Training552628-75+40.4+14.6-130.3
Health Care and Social Assistance984514+471+33.1+29.9+407.7
Arts and Recreation Services11973+46+4.7+27.6+13.3
Other Services177193-16+12.5-8.8-20.1
Total Industries4,6774,602+75+296.4---221.3

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2019. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts. Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a category in the chart below you will be able to drilldown to the sub categories.
loading animation

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2013/14 and 2018/19 in the West Tamar Council area in 2018/19 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in the West Tamar Council area relative to Tasmania were:

  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+408 )
  • Arts and Recreation Services (+13 )
  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (+6 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Mining (-76 )
  • Retail Trade (-87 )
  • Education and Training (-130 )

Northern Tasmania Region

economic profile