RDA Darling Downs and South West RegionEconomic profile
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Balonne Shire

Shift-share analysis

In Balonne Shire, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2012/13 and 2017/18 was experienced in Retail Trade.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Regional QLD
Balonne Shire - Employment (Total)2017/182012/132012/13 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing754890-136+68.0+6.8-210.8
Mining237+16+0.5-0.5+16.1
Manufacturing6296-33+7.3-12.1-28.4
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services2938-9+3.0-8.1-3.8
Construction137158-21+12.1-11.2-21.7
Wholesale Trade90126-36+9.6-35.7-10.0
Retail Trade229197+33+15.1-8.0+25.5
Accommodation and Food Services92103-10+7.9+7.0-25.3
Transport, Postal and Warehousing85123-39+9.5-8.0-40.0
Information Media and Telecommunications2014+6+1.1-1.9+7.0
Financial and Insurance Services2629-4+2.3-2.1-3.7
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services1324-11+1.8-2.3-10.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services3445-10+3.4-1.6-12.0
Administrative and Support Services3550-16+3.9+5.9-25.5
Public Administration and Safety122149-26+11.4+2.7-40.3
Education and Training258201+57+15.4+33.5+8.2
Health Care and Social Assistance281227+54+17.4+38.8-2.5
Arts and Recreation Services25-3+0.4+0.2-3.4
Other Services10682+24+6.3-1.6+19.2

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -210.8 Net change in Mining, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: 16.1 Net change in Manufacturing, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -28.4 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -3.8 Net change in Construction, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -21.7 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -10.0 Net change in Retail Trade, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: 25.5 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -25.3 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -40.0 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: 7.0 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -3.7 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -10.6 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -12.0 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -25.5 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -40.3 Net change in Education and Training, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: 8.2 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -2.5 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: -3.4 Net change in Other Services, Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD: 19.2
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2012/13 and 2017/18 in Balonne Shire in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Balonne Shire relative to Regional QLD were:

  • Retail Trade (+25.5)
  • Other Services (+19.2)
  • Mining (+16.1)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-210.8)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-40.3)
  • Transport, Postal and Warehousing (-40.0)

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