RDA Darling Downs and South West Region

economic profile

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Bulloo Shire

Shift-share analysis

In the Bulloo Shire, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2013/14 and 2018/19 was experienced in Accommodation and Food Services.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Queensland
Bulloo Shire - Employment (Total)2018/192013/142013/14 to 2018/19
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing6578-13+6.7-0.6-19.0
Mining56144-87+12.3-28.8-70.9
Manufacturing11+1+0.1-0.1+0.5
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services00+0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Construction1945-26+3.9-1.2-29.0
Wholesale Trade43+0+0.3-0.4+0.2
Retail Trade716-9+1.4+0.4-10.7
Accommodation and Food Services3021+8+1.8+1.5+5.2
Transport, Postal and Warehousing56-1+0.6+0.0-2.0
Information Media and Telecommunications22+1+0.2-0.2+0.6
Financial and Insurance Services00+0+0.0+0.0+0.5
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services11+0+0.1-0.2+0.1
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services64+2+0.4-0.2+1.9
Administrative and Support Services38-5+0.7-0.3-5.7
Public Administration and Safety5852+6+4.5+4.6-3.1
Education and Training78-1+0.7+0.5-2.5
Health Care and Social Assistance33+1+0.3+0.3+0.2
Arts and Recreation Services21+0+0.2+0.0-0.1
Other Services12-1+0.2-0.1-0.9
Total Industries279404-125+34.5---159.7

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2019. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts. Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
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Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2013/14 and 2018/19 in the Bulloo Shire in 2018/19 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in the Bulloo Shire relative to Queensland were:

  • Accommodation and Food Services (+5 )
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (+2 )
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+1 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-19 )
  • Construction (-29 )
  • Mining (-71 )

RDA Darling Downs and South West Region

economic profile