RDA Darling Downs and South West RegionEconomic profile
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South West RED Region

Shift-share analysis

In South West RED Region, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2012/13 and 2017/18 was experienced in Education and Training.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Regional QLD
South West RED Region - Employment (Total)2017/182012/132012/13 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing2,8843,148-264+240.4+24.0-528.3
Mining1,2391,251-12+95.6-81.1-26.4
Manufacturing590684-94+52.3-86.2-59.7
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services408406+2+31.1-84.3+55.5
Construction1,0911,948-857+148.8-137.8-867.8
Wholesale Trade391490-99+37.5-138.7+1.9
Retail Trade1,0421,160-118+88.6-47.0-160.0
Accommodation and Food Services747737+9+56.3+49.8-96.7
Transport, Postal and Warehousing564735-171+56.2-47.5-179.5
Information Media and Telecommunications182135+48+10.3-18.7+56.0
Financial and Insurance Services121163-42+12.5-11.5-43.2
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services136179-44+13.7-17.1-40.2
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services252334-82+25.5-11.6-95.8
Administrative and Support Services256234+22+17.9+27.3-23.3
Public Administration and Safety1,1111,200-89+91.7+21.9-202.7
Education and Training1,3621,017+346+77.7+168.9+99.0
Health Care and Social Assistance1,5551,417+138+108.2+241.6-211.4
Arts and Recreation Services11484+29+6.5+3.3+19.5
Other Services461440+20+33.7-8.5-4.8

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -528.3 Net change in Mining, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -26.4 Net change in Manufacturing, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -59.7 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: 55.5 Net change in Construction, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -867.8 Net change in Wholesale Trade, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: 1.9 Net change in Retail Trade, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -160.0 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -96.7 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -179.5 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: 56.0 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -43.2 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -40.2 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -95.8 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -23.3 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -202.7 Net change in Education and Training, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: 99.0 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -211.4 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: 19.5 Net change in Other Services, South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD: -4.8
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2012/13 and 2017/18 in South West RED Region in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in South West RED Region relative to Regional QLD were:

  • Education and Training (+99.0)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+56.0)
  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (+55.5)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Construction (-867.8)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-528.3)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (-211.4)

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