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Rural City of Murray Bridge

Shift-share analysis

In Rural City of Murray Bridge, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Wholesale Trade.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Regional SA
Rural City of Murray Bridge - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing978744+234+7.4+25.4+201.5
Mining3532+3+0.3-1.5+4.5
Manufacturing1,3341,622-289+16.2-24.3-280.5
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services104124-20+1.2-21.0-0.2
Construction724529+195+5.3+22.3+167.1
Wholesale Trade657420+238+4.2-72.1+305.6
Retail Trade1,2861,098+188+11.0-23.4+200.5
Accommodation and Food Services534481+53+4.8-20.1+67.9
Transport, Postal and Warehousing472456+16+4.6-19.2+30.2
Information Media and Telecommunications125163-38+1.6+31.7-71.5
Financial and Insurance Services108178-70+1.8-30.4-40.9
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services139121+18+1.2+3.1+13.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services177187-10+1.9-6.0-5.7
Administrative and Support Services307287+20+2.9-0.5+17.5
Public Administration and Safety682615+67+6.1+51.5+9.3
Education and Training708629+79+6.3+46.8+25.7
Health Care and Social Assistance1,2581,141+117+11.4+67.1+38.1
Arts and Recreation Services195217-22+2.2-36.3+12.2
Other Services370368+3+3.7-5.4+4.2

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 201.5 Net change in Mining, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 4.5 Net change in Manufacturing, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: -280.5 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: -0.2 Net change in Construction, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 167.1 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 305.6 Net change in Retail Trade, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 200.5 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 67.9 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 30.2 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: -71.5 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: -40.9 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 13.6 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: -5.7 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 17.5 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 9.3 Net change in Education and Training, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 25.7 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 38.1 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 12.2 Net change in Other Services, Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA: 4.2
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in Rural City of Murray Bridge in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Rural City of Murray Bridge relative to Regional SA were:

  • Wholesale Trade (+305.6)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+201.5)
  • Retail Trade (+200.5)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Manufacturing (-280.5)
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (-71.5)
  • Financial and Insurance Services (-40.9)

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