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Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council

Shift-share analysis

In Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2012/13 and 2017/18 was experienced in Manufacturing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to Regional SA
Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council - Employment (Total)2017/182012/132012/13 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing799875-76+35.1+45.9-157.1
Mining5245+8+1.8-6.4+12.2
Manufacturing645568+77+22.8-51.5+105.5
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services4645--+1.8-7.9+6.4
Construction330236+95+9.5+31.6+53.6
Wholesale Trade162169-6+6.8-32.8+19.7
Retail Trade509482+26+19.4+1.0+6.0
Accommodation and Food Services362371-10+14.9-17.5-7.0
Transport, Postal and Warehousing177132+45+5.3-18.3+58.4
Information Media and Telecommunications5059-9+2.4-11.7-0.1
Financial and Insurance Services8994-5+3.8-12.8+3.9
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services3848-9+1.9-3.1-7.9
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services179139+40+5.6-2.6+36.8
Administrative and Support Services165126+39+5.1+3.6+30.0
Public Administration and Safety118126-7+5.1+5.3-17.7
Education and Training330278+52+11.2+36.3+4.2
Health Care and Social Assistance605533+73+21.4+58.5-7.0
Arts and Recreation Services6056+5+2.3-1.6+4.0
Other Services172167+5+6.7-7.6+6.1

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -157.1 Net change in Mining, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 12.2 Net change in Manufacturing, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 105.5 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 6.4 Net change in Construction, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 53.6 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 19.7 Net change in Retail Trade, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 6.0 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -7.0 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 58.4 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -0.1 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 3.9 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -7.9 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 36.8 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 30.0 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -17.7 Net change in Education and Training, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 4.2 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: -7.0 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 4.0 Net change in Other Services, Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA: 6.1
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2012/13 and 2017/18 in Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Clare & Gilbert Valleys Council relative to Regional SA were:

  • Manufacturing (+105.5)
  • Transport, Postal and Warehousing (+58.4)
  • Construction (+53.6)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-157.1)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-17.7)
  • Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services (-7.9)

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