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Southern Flinders Region

Shift-share analysis

In Southern Flinders Region, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2012/13 and 2017/18 was experienced in Manufacturing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Regional SA
Southern Flinders Region - Employment (Total)2017/182012/132012/13 to 2017/18
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing1,4331,420+13+57.0+74.5-119.0
Mining5683-27+3.3-11.7-18.2
Manufacturing1,4631,304+158+52.4-118.2+224.1
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services253176+77+7.1-30.2+100.1
Construction711664+47+26.7+88.8-68.3
Wholesale Trade328346-17+13.9-67.2+36.3
Retail Trade1,3571,296+61+52.0+2.8+6.3
Accommodation and Food Services756705+51+28.3-33.1+55.3
Transport, Postal and Warehousing401455-54+18.3-62.9-9.4
Information Media and Telecommunications143107+36+4.3-21.1+52.9
Financial and Insurance Services151170-19+6.8-23.0-3.1
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services5183-32+3.4-5.5-29.7
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services213200+13+8.0-3.8+8.3
Administrative and Support Services299272+27+10.9+7.7+8.2
Public Administration and Safety578533+45+21.4+22.5+0.8
Education and Training1,194920+274+36.9+119.9+117.1
Health Care and Social Assistance2,0261,632+394+65.5+179.1+149.3
Arts and Recreation Services11378+35+3.2-2.3+34.3
Other Services386411-25+16.5-18.6-22.7

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2012/13 to 2017/18 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -119.0 Net change in Mining, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -18.2 Net change in Manufacturing, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 224.1 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 100.1 Net change in Construction, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -68.3 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 36.3 Net change in Retail Trade, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 6.3 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 55.3 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -9.4 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 52.9 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -3.1 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -29.7 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 8.3 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 8.2 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 0.8 Net change in Education and Training, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 117.1 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 149.3 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: 34.3 Net change in Other Services, Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA: -22.7
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2018
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2012/13 and 2017/18 in Southern Flinders Region in 2017/18 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Southern Flinders Region relative to Regional SA were:

  • Manufacturing (+224.1)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (+149.3)
  • Education and Training (+117.1)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-119.0)
  • Construction (-68.3)
  • Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services (-29.7)

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