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Tablelands

Shift-share analysis

This page has been updated with 2016-17 NIEIR-ID economic model data

You may notice some changes to current and past data. Learn more about these changes.

In Tablelands, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Regional QLD
Tablelands - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing1,5681,483+86+41.2-181.7+226.1
Mining140240-100+6.7+7.2-114.0
Manufacturing622624-2+17.3-75.2+56.0
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services129225-96+6.3-28.0-74.6
Construction668934-266+25.9-27.9-263.6
Wholesale Trade152301-149+8.4-66.7-90.6
Retail Trade1,1721,339-167+37.2-81.3-122.6
Accommodation and Food Services658710-51+19.7+15.5-86.5
Transport, Postal and Warehousing312467-155+13.0-28.0-140.1
Information Media and Telecommunications95142-47+4.0+0.8-52.3
Financial and Insurance Services141137+4+3.8-2.9+3.5
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services137137--+3.8-6.8+3.0
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services378471-93+13.1+0.9-106.5
Administrative and Support Services296271+25+7.5+17.4+0.2
Public Administration and Safety459600-141+16.7+7.7-165.3
Education and Training1,1441,071+73+29.7+169.7-126.7
Health Care and Social Assistance1,3151,316-2+36.6+201.8-239.9
Arts and Recreation Services180151+28+4.2+13.2+10.7
Other Services379459-80+12.8+8.0-100.4

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 226.1 Net change in Mining, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -114.0 Net change in Manufacturing, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 56.0 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -74.6 Net change in Construction, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -263.6 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -90.6 Net change in Retail Trade, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -122.6 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -86.5 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -140.1 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -52.3 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 3.5 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 3.0 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -106.5 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 0.2 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -165.3 Net change in Education and Training, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -126.7 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -239.9 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: 10.7 Net change in Other Services, Tablelands relative to Regional QLD: -100.4
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in Tablelands in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Tablelands relative to Regional QLD were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+226.1)
  • Manufacturing (+56.0)
  • Arts and Recreation Services (+10.7)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Construction (-263.6)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (-239.9)
  • Public Administration and Safety (-165.3)

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