Tablelands Regional Council

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Tablelands

Shift-share analysis

In Tablelands, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2013/14 and 2018/19 was experienced in Exploration and Other Mining Support Services.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Queensland
Tablelands - Employment (Total)2018/192013/142013/14 to 2018/19
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing1,5721,403+169+80.8+132.1-44.2
Mining422346+76+19.9-65.3+121.4
Manufacturing492564-71+32.5-41.9-61.9
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services151143+8+8.2-11.9+12.0
Construction771869-98+50.1-19.9-127.8
Wholesale Trade173212-39+12.2-2.0-48.9
Retail Trade8001,007-207+58.0-111.6-153.5
Accommodation and Food Services499468+31+27.0+54.8-50.6
Transport, Postal and Warehousing307359-52+20.7+0.7-73.9
Information Media and Telecommunications6661+5+3.6-3.3+4.5
Financial and Insurance Services10696+11+5.5+12.0-6.9
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services107117-9+6.7-10.5-5.4
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services329339-10+19.6-16.4-13.1
Administrative and Support Services148176-28+10.2+4.3-42.8
Public Administration and Safety386468-82+27.0-8.4-100.9
Education and Training698715-17+41.2+99.3-157.7
Health Care and Social Assistance1,065964+101+55.5+130.4-84.9
Arts and Recreation Services117117+0+6.8+14.9-22.1
Other Services390428-38+24.7-38.3-24.7
Total Industries8,6098,861-252+510.2---762.6

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2019. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts. Data are based on a 2016-17 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
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Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2013/14 and 2018/19 in Tablelands in 2018/19 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Tablelands relative to Queensland were:

  • Mining (+121 )
  • Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (+12 )
  • Information Media and Telecommunications (+4 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Construction (-128 )
  • Retail Trade (-154 )
  • Education and Training (-158 )

Tablelands Regional Council

economic profile