Junee Shire

Shift-share analysis

In Junee Shire, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2016/17 and 2021/22 was experienced in Public Administration and Safety.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

Data source

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

Current benchmark:
Measure
Comparison year:
reset
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a data row in the table you will be able to see sub categories.
Shift-share analysis to New South Wales
Junee Shire - Employment (Total)2021/222016/172016/17 to 2021/22
IndustryNumbernumberchangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing417493-76+33.7-34.2-75.5
Mining000000
Manufacturing259237+22+16.2-28.9+34.4
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services1710+7+0.7+1.2+5.1
Construction164145+19+9.9-1.3+10.1
Wholesale Trade6817+51+1.2-2.2+51.9
Retail Trade11092+18+6.3-2.7+14.9
Accommodation and Food Services102114-12+7.8-14.5-5.1
Transport, Postal and Warehousing240222+19+15.2-6.4+10.0
Information Media and Telecommunications20+3+0.0+0.0+2.6
Financial and Insurance Services415-11+1.0+2.3-14.5
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services918-9+1.2+0.7-10.6
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services3461-26+4.2+5.4-36.1
Administrative and Support Services4138+3+2.6-2.8+3.1
Public Administration and Safety511314+197+21.4+22.8+153.0
Education and Training162165-3+11.3+1.9-15.8
Health Care and Social Assistance181155+26+10.6+13.6+2.0
Arts and Recreation Services65+1+0.4-0.4+0.9
Other Services3641-5+2.8+1.5-9.5
Total Industries2,3722,149+223+146.6--+76.6

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2023. ©2023. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id (informed decisions). Data are based on a 2020/21 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Please refer to specific data notes for more information
Did you know? By clicking/tapping on a category in the chart below you will be able to drilldown to the sub categories.
loading animation

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of Employment (Total) change between 2016/17 and 2021/22 in Junee Shire shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Junee Shire relative to New South Wales were:

  • Public Administration and Safety (+153 )
  • Wholesale Trade (+52 )
  • Manufacturing (+34 )

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Education and Training (-16 )
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (-36 )
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (-76 )

Junee Shire

economic profile