Glenelg ShireEconomic profile
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Glenelg Shire

Shift-share analysis

In Glenelg Shire, the strongest regional competitive effect between 2011/12 and 2016/17 was experienced in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing.

Shift Share Analysis provides a useful mechanism for better interpreting changes in economic variables between different time periods. It is a way of breaking the growth or decline in an industry into three components to help understand what is driving the change. These three change components are commonly known as:

National/State growth effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the overall growth of a larger area that encompasses the region's economy, usually state or national.

Industry mix effect - the amount of growth or decline in an industry that could be attributed to the performance of the specific industry at the national/state level.

Regional competitive effect - the amount of growth or decline in a specific industry that could be attributed to a local advantage or disadvantage. This is generally the most interesting component as it clearly quantifies the level of advantage or disadvantage an industry has in the local area.

The regional competitive effect for an industry generally indicates how the local industry performed against benchmark trends. An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. For example, if Retail Trade in a region grew by 3% but at a state/national level it only grew by 2%, some regional specific factors (e.g. new shopping centre, population growth) must have contributed to this above trend growth. A negative effect suggests the opposite.

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect may still have experienced decline, but by less than the state/national trends.

National Economics (NIEIR) - Modelled series

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Shift-share analysis to Victoria
Glenelg Shire - Employment (Total)2016/172011/122011/12 to 2016/17
Industry
(Click rows to view sub-categories)
NumberNumberChangeBenchmark growth effectIndustry mix effectRegional competitive effect
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing1,8031,167+636+133.1+113.2+389.8
Mining3075-45+8.6-12.4-41.1
Manufacturing1,4221,991-569+227.2-366.9-429.4
Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services8586-1+9.9+3.6-14.9
Construction434454-20+51.9-0.5-71.6
Wholesale Trade203218-15+24.9-51.4+11.8
Retail Trade711774-63+88.3-12.0-139.6
Accommodation and Food Services587575+12+65.7+61.1-115.1
Transport, Postal and Warehousing533480+54+54.7-4.9+4.1
Information Media and Telecommunications4356-13+6.4-4.4-15.3
Financial and Insurance Services96132-36+15.1-8.4-42.4
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services7579-4+9.1+6.7-19.9
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services212227-15+26.0+9.5-50.8
Administrative and Support Services154179-25+20.5+3.2-49.1
Public Administration and Safety406426-20+48.6-2.8-65.4
Education and Training566572-5+65.2+55.8-126.3
Health Care and Social Assistance1,1031,093+10+124.7+135.0-249.4
Arts and Recreation Services104138-34+15.8+4.4-54.1
Other Services290270+20+30.8+5.1-15.5

Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016. Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id , the population experts.

Data are based on a 2015-16 price base for all years. NIEIR-ID data are inflation adjusted each year to allow direct comparison, and annual data releases adjust previous years’ figures to a new base year.Learn more

Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17
Regional competitive effect by industry sector 2011/12 to 2016/17 Net change in Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: 389.8 Net change in Mining, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -41.1 Net change in Manufacturing, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -429.4 Net change in Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -14.9 Net change in Construction, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -71.6 Net change in Wholesale Trade, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: 11.8 Net change in Retail Trade, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -139.6 Net change in Accommodation and Food Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -115.1 Net change in Transport, Postal and Warehousing, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: 4.1 Net change in Information Media and Telecommunications, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -15.3 Net change in Financial and Insurance Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -42.4 Net change in Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -19.9 Net change in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -50.8 Net change in Administrative and Support Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -49.1 Net change in Public Administration and Safety, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -65.4 Net change in Education and Training, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -126.3 Net change in Health Care and Social Assistance, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -249.4 Net change in Arts and Recreation Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -54.1 Net change in Other Services, Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria: -15.5
Source: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ©2016
Compiled and presented in economy.id by .id the population experts

Dominant groups

An industry with a positive regional competitive effect suggests local characteristics supported above trend growth in that period. A negative effect suggests local characteristics inhibited growth in that period.

An analysis of employment (Total) change between 2011/12 and 2016/17 in Glenelg Shire in 2016/17 shows the three industries with the highest regional competitive effect in Glenelg Shire relative to Victoria were:

  • Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (+389.8)
  • Wholesale Trade (+11.8)
  • Transport, Postal and Warehousing (+4.1)

The three industries with the lowest regional competitive effect were:

  • Manufacturing (-429.4)
  • Health Care and Social Assistance (-249.4)
  • Retail Trade (-139.6)

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